Birmingham City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
23%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1894 |
ARS
1 - 4
BIR
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1894 |
BIR
6 - 0
POR
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1894 |
ROT
2 - 3
BIR
19%
20%
61%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1894 |
BIR
10 - 2
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1894 |
GRI
2 - 1
BIR
28%
23%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1894 |
NOT
4 - 1
BOL
38%
23%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1894 |
ARS
1 - 2
NOT
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1894 |
LIN
0 - 2
NOT
25%
23%
52%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1894 |
NOT
5 - 0
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1894 |
WAL
2 - 1
NOT
21%
21%
59%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |