Birkirkara vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 3
BIR
19%
24%
58%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
BIR
4 - 0
GZI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FLO
0 - 2
BIR
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
HAM
0 - 1
BIR
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SLU
0 - 5
BIR
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 2
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
QOR
2 - 1
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
MEL
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 0
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
ZEB
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |