Birkirkara vs Msida St Joseph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
PIE
2 - 1
BIR
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BIR
2 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SLI
0 - 2
BIR
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
BIR
1 - 0
MQA
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
HIB
1 - 1
BIR
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
MSI
0 - 1
HAM
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MSI
1 - 1
VAL
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
PIE
0 - 1
MSI
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MSI
1 - 3
MAR
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
SLI
3 - 0
MSI
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |