Birkenhead United vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
8º
1º
13
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIR
4 - 2
NAP
63%
18%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WES
1 - 3
BIR
53%
20%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIR
3 - 3
WSU
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
BIR
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ECB
3 - 0
BIR
18%
17%
65%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 3
COA
41%
21%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 1
WEL
71%
16%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 4
WEL
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 2
EAS
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
STO
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |