Binningen vs Ueberstorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
11º
9º
33
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
72.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
51.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 56% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 3
BIN
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BIN
3 - 1
TAV
54%
22%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 1
BIN
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BIN
5 - 0
CON
41%
22%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 0
BIN
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ueberstorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 0
FCU
55%
21%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
FCE
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
TAV
2 - 1
FCU
50%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 2
SCH
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CON
3 - 0
FCU
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |