Binningen vs Lommiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+3994%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
14º
12º
31
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 3
BIN
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 1
DUD
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
2 - 1
BIN
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BIN
2 - 0
OLD
16%
18%
67%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +4 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 2
BIN
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Lommiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
FBN
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
FCL
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
DUD
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
2 - 0
FCL
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 6
OLD
7%
12%
82%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | -2 |