Binningen vs Dornach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
11º
10º
45
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 62 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 28 |
15º
|
73.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GUM
1 - 0
BIN
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BIN
0 - 2
FCA
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BIN
1 - 3
PRA
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 1
BIN
24%
20%
55%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BIN
2 - 0
FCE
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
4 - 0
FCU
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 3
DOR
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
4 - 1
TAV
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 1
DOR
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
CON
58%
20%
23%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |