Tercera División RFEF XI - Balearic Islands Round 4

Binissalem vs SD Ibiza analysis

Binissalem SD Ibiza
23 ELO 42
-23.8% Tilt -17.6%
7604º General ELO ranking 3774º
352º Country ELO ranking 117º
ELO win probability
10.9%
Binissalem
18.3%
Draw
70.8%
SD Ibiza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
Binissalem
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.8%
Win probability
SD Ibiza
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Binissalem
+19%
+6%
SD Ibiza

Points and table prediction

Binissalem
Their league position
SD Ibiza
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
14º
11º
87
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SD Ibiza
87
87
100%
Mallorca B
74
74
0%
Poblense
74
74
0%
Platges de Calvià
63
63
100%
Manacor
62
62
100%
Santanyi
56
56
100%
Constància
53
53
100%
UE Alcudia
49
49
100%
Llosetense
49
49
100%
Mercadal
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Binissalem
11º
43
43
11º
100%
SD Portmany
12º
42
42
12º
100%
UD Collerense
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Felanitx
14º
35
35
14º
100%
CE Alaior
15º
31
31
15º
100%
UD Arenal
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Soller
17º
17
17
17º
100%
Inter Manacor
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Binissalem
SD Ibiza
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Binissalem
SD Ibiza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Binissalem
Binissalem
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
IMA
Inter Manacor
3 - 2
Binissalem
BNS
26%
25%
50%
25 19 6 0
17 Sep. 2023
BNS
Binissalem
2 - 0
Mercadal
MER
30%
25%
45%
24 28 4 +1
09 Sep. 2023
FLN
Felanitx
2 - 1
Binissalem
BNS
50%
24%
26%
25 25 0 -1
23 Apr. 2023
LLO
Llosetense
3 - 0
Binissalem
BNS
65%
20%
15%
26 34 8 -1
15 Apr. 2023
BNS
Binissalem
2 - 1
Mercadal
MER
34%
26%
40%
25 28 3 +1

Matches

SD Ibiza
SD Ibiza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2023
IBI
SD Ibiza
0 - 2
Som Maresme FC
SMR
22%
23%
55%
43 53 10 0
24 Sep. 2023
IBI
SD Ibiza
1 - 0
Manacor
MNC
70%
17%
13%
43 35 8 0
16 Sep. 2023
IMA
Inter Manacor
1 - 4
SD Ibiza
IBI
9%
17%
74%
43 20 23 0
10 Sep. 2023
IBI
SD Ibiza
3 - 0
CE Alaior
ALA
78%
14%
8%
42 28 14 +1
26 Aug. 2023
SDF
SD Formentera
1 - 3
SD Ibiza
IBI
49%
25%
26%
42 47 5 0