Non League Div One Isthmian South Central Round 19

Binfield vs Basingstoke Town analysis

Binfield Basingstoke Town
32 ELO 33
-7.9% Tilt -5.8%
11882º General ELO ranking 8082º
672º Country ELO ranking 326º
ELO win probability
41.5%
Binfield
21.6%
Draw
36.9%
Basingstoke Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
Binfield
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
36.9%
Win probability
Basingstoke Town
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Binfield
+30%
-11%
Basingstoke Town

Points and table prediction

Binfield
Their league position
Basingstoke Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
89
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Basingstoke Town
89
89
100%
Walton & Hersham
87
87
100%
Marlow FC
67
67
100%
Hanworth Villa FC
66
66
100%
Northwood
63
63
100%
Binfield
57
57
0%
Leatherhead
57
57
0%
Chertsey Town
56
56
100%
South Park FC
55
55
100%
Southall
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Chipstead
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Westfield FC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Thatcham Town
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Uxbridge
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Guernsey
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Ashford Town
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Sutton Common Rovers
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Merstham
18º
36
36
18º
100%
Bedfont Sports
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Tooting and Mitcham
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Binfield
Basingstoke Town
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Binfield
Basingstoke Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Binfield
Binfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
BED
Bedfont Sports
1 - 2
Binfield
BIN
28%
22%
51%
32 24 8 0
14 Jan. 2023
CHE
Chertsey Town
1 - 2
Binfield
BIN
65%
18%
18%
31 35 4 +1
06 Jan. 2023
BIN
Binfield
3 - 0
Ashford Town
ASH
76%
14%
9%
30 20 10 +1
02 Jan. 2023
MAR
Marlow FC
2 - 2
Binfield
BIN
44%
23%
34%
30 30 0 0
03 Dec. 2022
CHI
Chipstead
1 - 1
Binfield
BIN
44%
23%
34%
30 30 0 0

Matches

Basingstoke Town
Basingstoke Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
BAS
Basingstoke Town
3 - 1
Merstham
MER
82%
12%
7%
32 21 11 0
21 Jan. 2023
SCR
Sutton Common Rovers
0 - 5
Basingstoke Town
BAS
6%
12%
82%
31 14 17 +1
14 Jan. 2023
BAS
Basingstoke Town
4 - 1
Westfield FC
WES
64%
19%
18%
31 28 3 0
07 Jan. 2023
BED
Bedfont Sports
1 - 3
Basingstoke Town
BAS
32%
22%
46%
30 25 5 +1
02 Jan. 2023
BAS
Basingstoke Town
2 - 0
Thatcham Town
THA
66%
18%
17%
29 25 4 +1