Billericay Town vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BIL
4 - 0
LEI
75%
15%
10%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 2
BIL
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
HUN
0 - 2
BIL
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
KIN
0 - 2
BIL
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 4
BIL
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TON
0 - 1
MER
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MER
1 - 5
STA
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
MER
0 - 3
BIL
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -3 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LOW
1 - 0
MER
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
MER
1 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |