Non League Div One South Central Round 1

Biggleswade vs AFC Dunstable analysis

Biggleswade AFC Dunstable
34 ELO 23
-6.7% Tilt -6.1%
9471º General ELO ranking 8678º
460º Country ELO ranking 385º
ELO win probability
74.6%
Biggleswade
15%
Draw
10.4%
AFC Dunstable

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
Biggleswade
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.4%
Win probability
AFC Dunstable
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Biggleswade
-13%
+24%
AFC Dunstable

ELO progression

Biggleswade
AFC Dunstable
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Biggleswade
Biggleswade
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2020
BFC
Biggleswade
1 - 0
Histon
HIS
57%
20%
23%
35 25 10 0
07 Mar. 2020
BFC
Biggleswade
2 - 1
Didcot Town
DID
73%
15%
12%
34 24 10 +1
22 Feb. 2020
BFC
Biggleswade
3 - 1
Wantage Town
WAN
89%
8%
3%
34 11 23 0
08 Feb. 2020
BFC
Biggleswade
2 - 0
Corby Town
COR
21%
19%
60%
30 40 10 +4
04 Feb. 2020
BFC
Biggleswade
3 - 0
North Leigh
NOR
54%
20%
26%
30 25 5 0

Matches

AFC Dunstable
AFC Dunstable
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2020
THA
Thatcham Town
1 - 5
AFC Dunstable
AFD
69%
18%
13%
22 35 13 0
08 Sep. 2020
AFD
AFC Dunstable
3 - 3
Royston Town
ROY
9%
17%
74%
22 50 28 0
01 Sep. 2020
AFD
AFC Dunstable
4 - 0
Hallen
HAL
77%
14%
9%
22 10 12 0
11 Mar. 2020
AYL
Aylesbury United
3 - 1
AFC Dunstable
AFD
69%
18%
13%
22 31 9 0
07 Mar. 2020
AFD
AFC Dunstable
0 - 3
Kidlington
KID
38%
23%
39%
24 26 2 -2