Bigastro vs Atl. Orihuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
THA
0 - 4
BIG
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BIG
1 - 1
SPO
29%
23%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CFP
3 - 0
BIG
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BIG
4 - 2
SPO
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 2
BIG
17%
21%
62%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Orihuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ATO
0 - 5
DNA
63%
18%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CDC
1 - 0
ATO
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ATO
13 - 0
MON
81%
11%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 2
ATO
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ATO
3 - 0
ALG
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |