European U21 Championship qualifying Round 1

Bielorrusia U21 vs Moldavia U21 analysis

Bielorrusia U21 Moldavia U21
52 ELO 44
-8.4% Tilt -7.3%
5145º General ELO ranking 6331º
37º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
57.8%
Bielorrusia U21
23.2%
Draw
19%
Moldavia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
Bielorrusia U21
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19%
Win probability
Moldavia U21
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bielorrusia U21
-6%
-16%
Moldavia U21

ELO progression

Bielorrusia U21
Moldavia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bielorrusia U21
Bielorrusia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2017
CRO
Croacia U21
2 - 1
Bielorrusia U21
BLR
76%
17%
8%
52 69 17 0
05 Sep. 2017
CZE
República Checa U21
1 - 1
Bielorrusia U21
BLR
78%
16%
7%
51 73 22 +1
01 Sep. 2017
BLR
Bielorrusia U21
0 - 2
Grecia U21
GRC
20%
23%
57%
52 63 11 -1
07 Jun. 2017
BLR
Bielorrusia U21
1 - 0
San Marino U21
SMR
76%
16%
8%
52 19 33 0
31 May. 2017
RUS
Rusia U21
7 - 0
Bielorrusia U21
BLR
76%
16%
8%
53 66 13 -1

Matches

Moldavia U21
Moldavia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2017
MDA
Moldavia U21
0 - 2
Grecia U21
GRC
14%
22%
64%
45 64 19 0
04 Sep. 2017
GRC
Grecia U21
5 - 1
Moldavia U21
MDA
75%
16%
9%
46 64 18 -1
31 Aug. 2017
MDA
Moldavia U21
0 - 3
Croacia U21
CRO
8%
16%
77%
46 69 23 0
09 Aug. 2017
MDA
Moldavia U21
2 - 1
Chipre U21
CYP
28%
26%
46%
45 51 6 +1
13 Jun. 2017
SMR
San Marino U21
0 - 2
Moldavia U21
MDA
19%
20%
61%
44 19 25 +1