Bideford vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 3
BID
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HIT
3 - 2
BID
47%
23%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
CIR
6 - 2
BID
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BID
1 - 2
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
HUN
2 - 1
BID
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
WHI
2 - 3
STN
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
WHI
2 - 1
HUN
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
WHI
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 2
WHI
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WHI
0 - 3
CHE
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |