Liga de Fútbol Amateur de Rusia Centre Round 1

BGUOR vs FK Orel analysis

BGUOR FK Orel
9 ELO 20
2.2% Tilt 0%
50709º General ELO ranking 7883º
603º Country ELO ranking 109º
ELO win probability
6.4%
BGUOR
12.9%
Draw
80.6%
FK Orel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.4%
Win probability
BGUOR
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
80.6%
Win probability
FK Orel
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BGUOR
+1394%
+62%
FK Orel

Points and table prediction

BGUOR
Their league position
FK Orel
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
12º
12º
51
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Metallurg Oskol
54
64
100%
Lokomotiv Liski
49
59
100%
FK Orel
51
57
100%
Atom Novovoronezh
41
50
100%
Urozhay
40
46
100%
Yelets
29
39
100%
Rotor Volgograd II
30
36
100%
Dinamo Bryansk Ii
27
30
100%
Spartak Tambov II
14
16
88%
Metallurg Lipetsk Ii
11º
11
14
10º
88%
FK Kaluga II
13º
10
14
11º
100%
BGUOR
12º
10
13
12º
100%
Avangard Kursk Ii
10º
13
13
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
BGUOR
FK Orel
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

BGUOR
FK Orel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Orel
FK Orel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2022
FAK
Avangard Kursk II
0 - 5
FK Orel
ORE
17%
18%
65%
19 12 7 0
09 Oct. 2022
ORE
FK Orel
7 - 1
Salyut Belgorod II
FSB
84%
11%
5%
19 10 9 0
30 Sep. 2022
AKA
Akademiya Tambov
5 - 1
FK Orel
ORE
62%
19%
19%
20 22 2 -1
24 Sep. 2022
ORE
FK Orel
1 - 3
Metallurg Oskol
MET
11%
16%
72%
21 37 16 -1
17 Sep. 2022
ATO
Atom Novovoronezh
2 - 0
FK Orel
ORE
91%
6%
2%
21 47 26 0