BGA vs Virum Sorgenfri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BGA
0 - 1
FRE
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
BGA
0 - 5
LYN
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BGA
1 - 1
AVE
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FA2
4 - 1
BGA
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BGA
2 - 1
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Virum Sorgenfri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
ABT
4 - 1
VIR
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VIR
4 - 0
FCO
44%
23%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
4 - 2
VIR
56%
22%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
VIR
4 - 0
FRE
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
VIR
4 - 1
FRE
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |