BGA vs Holstebro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
KOL
1 - 0
BGA
49%
23%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BGA
3 - 0
SLA
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VBK
0 - 5
BGA
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
BGA
2 - 2
VEN
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
B19
0 - 1
BGA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Holstebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
HOL
1 - 4
LYN
24%
21%
55%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
JAM
4 - 1
HOL
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
HOL
3 - 1
NAS
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ROS
1 - 0
HOL
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
HOL
0 - 3
AAF
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |