BGA vs FA 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
45.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
BGA
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NBB
2 - 1
BGA
36%
24%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BGA
1 - 2
B19
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BGA
1 - 1
FCO
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
0 - 2
BGA
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FA2
3 - 0
FCO
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FA2
2 - 1
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 7
FA2
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FA2
1 - 1
ABT
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
FA2
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |