BGA vs FA 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCO
2 - 1
BGA
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BGA
3 - 1
VIR
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 1
LSF
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
B19
2 - 0
BGA
83%
13%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 2
FRE
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FA2
0 - 0
LSF
44%
23%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
B19
1 - 1
FA2
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FA2
3 - 4
FRE
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
B19
4 - 0
FA2
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 0
FA2
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |