BGA vs Dalum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
NOR
3 - 3
BGA
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BGA
1 - 0
KOL
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SKI
0 - 1
BGA
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BGA
0 - 2
NAE
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VEN
4 - 1
BGA
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dalum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
DAL
3 - 2
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
KAL
5 - 2
DAL
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
DAL
2 - 0
B19
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
HEL
3 - 2
DAL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DAL
3 - 0
HOL
61%
20%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |