BGA vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BGA
4 - 3
HOL
71%
16%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
KOL
1 - 0
BGA
49%
23%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BGA
3 - 0
SLA
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
VBK
0 - 5
BGA
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
BGA
2 - 2
VEN
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ROS
0 - 2
AAF
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
AAF
2 - 2
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 3
AAF
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
AAF
2 - 1
KAL
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
HOL
0 - 3
AAF
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |