NB III Southwest Round 23

BFC Siófok vs Főnix Gold FC analysis

BFC Siófok Főnix Gold FC
50 ELO 9
-5.9% Tilt -1.4%
4762º General ELO ranking 17693º
44º Country ELO ranking 193º
ELO win probability
84.8%
BFC Siófok
10.3%
Draw
5%
Főnix Gold FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
BFC Siófok
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5%
Win probability
Főnix Gold FC
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BFC Siófok
-1%
+7%
Főnix Gold FC

Points and table prediction

BFC Siófok
Their league position
Főnix Gold FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
13º
21
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nagykanizsa FC
74
74
100%
Iváncsa
67
70
100%
Ferencváros II
62
65
100%
Kaposvari Rakoczi
62
62
100%
Pécsi MFC
60
60
100%
BFC Siófok
55
55
100%
Paksi SE II
41
41
100%
Majosi SE
40
40
100%
Dunaharaszti MTK
38
38
93.5%
MTK Budapest II
10º
37
37
10º
93.5%
Bonyhád Völgység
11º
35
35
11º
100%
Szekszárdi UFC
12º
22
23
12º
90.5%
Gárdony
15º
18
21
13º
77.5%
PTE-PEAC
13º
21
21
14º
22.5%
Főnix Gold FC
14º
21
21
15º
0%
FC Dunafoldvar
16º
7
8
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
BFC Siófok
Főnix Gold FC
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 22.5%
Relegation
0% 77.5%

ELO progression

BFC Siófok
Főnix Gold FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BFC Siófok
BFC Siófok
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2025
PEC
Pécsi MFC
1 - 1
BFC Siófok
BFC
52%
25%
23%
50 55 5 0
22 Mar. 2025
BFC
BFC Siófok
2 - 0
FC Dunafoldvar
FCD
68%
19%
13%
50 23 27 0
16 Mar. 2025
BVO
Bonyhád Völgység
0 - 2
BFC Siófok
BFC
14%
21%
66%
49 29 20 +1
09 Mar. 2025
BFC
BFC Siófok
4 - 0
Gárdony
GVC
78%
15%
7%
49 29 20 0
02 Mar. 2025
MTK
MTK Budapest II
1 - 3
BFC Siófok
BFC
19%
23%
58%
49 34 15 0

Matches

Főnix Gold FC
Főnix Gold FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2025
FOG
Főnix Gold FC
0 - 3
Dunaharaszti MTK
DUN
8%
14%
78%
7 37 30 0
22 Mar. 2025
PAK
Paksi SE II
5 - 1
Főnix Gold FC
FOG
88%
8%
4%
7 34 27 0
16 Mar. 2025
FOG
Főnix Gold FC
2 - 4
Ferencváros II
FER
8%
14%
78%
9 50 41 -2
09 Mar. 2025
SZE
Szekszárdi UFC
6 - 0
Főnix Gold FC
FOG
77%
15%
8%
9 28 19 0
02 Mar. 2025
PEC
Pécsi MFC
4 - 1
Főnix Gold FC
FOG
72%
18%
10%
9 54 45 0