NB III Southwest Round 21

BFC Siófok vs FC Dunafoldvar analysis

BFC Siófok FC Dunafoldvar
50 ELO 22
-6% Tilt -1%
4758º General ELO ranking 10370º
45º Country ELO ranking 105º
ELO win probability
68%
BFC Siófok
18.7%
Draw
13.3%
FC Dunafoldvar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
BFC Siófok
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.3%
Win probability
FC Dunafoldvar
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BFC Siófok
-4%
-71%
FC Dunafoldvar

Points and table prediction

BFC Siófok
Their league position
FC Dunafoldvar
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
13º
7
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nagykanizsa FC
74
74
100%
Iváncsa
67
70
100%
Ferencváros II
62
65
100%
Kaposvari Rakoczi
62
62
100%
Pécsi MFC
60
60
100%
BFC Siófok
55
55
100%
Paksi SE II
41
41
100%
Majosi SE
40
40
100%
Dunaharaszti MTK
38
38
93.5%
MTK Budapest II
10º
37
37
10º
93.5%
Bonyhád Völgység
11º
35
35
11º
100%
Szekszárdi UFC
12º
22
23
12º
90.5%
Gárdony
15º
18
21
13º
77.5%
PTE-PEAC
13º
21
21
14º
22.5%
Főnix Gold FC
14º
21
21
15º
0%
FC Dunafoldvar
16º
7
8
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
BFC Siófok
FC Dunafoldvar
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

BFC Siófok
FC Dunafoldvar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BFC Siófok
BFC Siófok
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2025
BVO
Bonyhád Völgység
0 - 2
BFC Siófok
BFC
14%
21%
66%
49 29 20 0
09 Mar. 2025
BFC
BFC Siófok
4 - 0
Gárdony
GVC
78%
15%
7%
49 29 20 0
02 Mar. 2025
MTK
MTK Budapest II
1 - 3
BFC Siófok
BFC
19%
23%
58%
49 34 15 0
08 Feb. 2025
NAG
Nagykanizsa FC
1 - 2
BFC Siófok
BFC
44%
23%
33%
48 50 2 +1
24 Nov. 2024
BFC
BFC Siófok
1 - 2
Iváncsa
IVA
24%
24%
53%
49 56 7 -1

Matches

FC Dunafoldvar
FC Dunafoldvar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2025
FCD
FC Dunafoldvar
1 - 8
Dunaharaszti MTK
DUN
23%
20%
57%
24 36 12 0
09 Mar. 2025
PAK
Paksi SE II
2 - 0
FC Dunafoldvar
FCD
67%
17%
17%
25 34 9 -1
02 Mar. 2025
FCD
FC Dunafoldvar
1 - 3
Ferencváros II
FER
21%
23%
57%
26 49 23 -1
24 Nov. 2024
MAV
MAV Elore
3 - 3
FC Dunafoldvar
FCD
21%
19%
60%
26 17 9 0
17 Nov. 2024
FCD
FC Dunafoldvar
0 - 5
Pécsi MFC
PEC
20%
24%
56%
26 53 27 0