BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 1
BFC
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ILU
1 - 1
BFC
37%
25%
37%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BFC
2 - 2
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 0
BFC
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 1
LME
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
LIE
30%
25%
46%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FKT
3 - 9
VAL
39%
23%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
SAL
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 0
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
VEN
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |