BFC Daugavpils vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
65.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
89
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
CAR
11%
22%
67%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
VAL
8%
17%
75%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 0
SUP
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
BFC
6 - 0
MCF
46%
22%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKT
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
RIG
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
JGV
0 - 2
RIG
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 2
RIG
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |