BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
6º
5º
18
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 79 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 77 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 45 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 39 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 30 |
10º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
HLI
4 - 0
BFC
69%
18%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SUD
0 - 0
BFC
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 3
BFC
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PAN
3 - 0
BFC
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
KZA
0 - 0
BFC
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SUD
0 - 1
FKT
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ZAL
5 - 0
FKT
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 1
FKT
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GRO
3 - 0
FKT
45%
20%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 2
DTE
46%
23%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |