BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
35
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
GRO
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
BFC
70%
18%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 0
BFC
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
1 - 2
BFC
69%
18%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 3
FKT
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
FKT
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 4
PAN
28%
23%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
5 - 2
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 3
FKT
43%
22%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |