BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
40
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
BFC
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 2
LIE
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
BFC
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
BFC
5 - 2
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 3
CAR
13%
24%
64%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FKJ
1 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
FKJ
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 1
FKJ
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |