Virsliga round 18

BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis

BFC Daugavpils FS Jelgava
60 ELO 59
5.4% Tilt -4.1%
1816º General ELO ranking 2331º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
58.2%
BFC Daugavpils
23.8%
Draw
18%
FS Jelgava

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
BFC Daugavpils
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18%
Win probability
FS Jelgava
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BFC Daugavpils
+1%
+19%
FS Jelgava

ELO progression

BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2019
FKS
FK Spartaks
3 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
61%
23%
16%
62 70 8 0
01 Jun. 2019
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 0
FK Liepāja
LIE
30%
27%
43%
61 72 11 +1
27 May. 2019
RIG
FK RFS
3 - 2
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
75%
16%
9%
61 75 14 0
22 May. 2019
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
0 - 3
Ventspils
VEN
18%
23%
59%
62 77 15 -1
18 May. 2019
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
0 - 3
Riga FC
CAR
19%
25%
56%
62 78 16 0

Matches

FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2019
FKJ
FS Jelgava
0 - 1
Valmiera FC
VAL
35%
26%
39%
59 58 1 0
08 Jun. 2019
BAT
BATE Borisov
0 - 2
FS Jelgava
FKJ
77%
17%
6%
58 80 22 +1
31 May. 2019
FSM
FK Metta
2 - 1
FS Jelgava
FKJ
55%
24%
20%
59 60 1 -1
21 May. 2019
FKJ
FS Jelgava
0 - 3
FK Spartaks
FKS
23%
26%
52%
60 69 9 -1
17 May. 2019
LIE
FK Liepāja
1 - 0
FS Jelgava
FKJ
64%
23%
13%
60 71 11 0