BFC Daugavpils vs FC Jurmala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VEN
2 - 0
BFC
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FCD
5 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 0
FCS
17%
24%
60%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FKJ
2 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKS
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Jurmala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FCJ
1 - 7
FCS
14%
22%
65%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FKJ
2 - 1
FCJ
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCJ
1 - 2
FKS
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LIE
6 - 0
FCJ
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCJ
1 - 0
FSM
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |