Virsliga Round 4

BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC analysis

BFC Daugavpils Riga FC
60 ELO 79
7.9% Tilt -5.5%
1803º General ELO ranking 874º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.6%
BFC Daugavpils
24.4%
Draw
60%
Riga FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
BFC Daugavpils
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60%
Win probability
Riga FC
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BFC Daugavpils
-4%
+41%
Riga FC

ELO progression

BFC Daugavpils
Riga FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2019
VAL
Valmiera FC
2 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
35%
26%
39%
60 50 10 0
09 Mar. 2019
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 0
FK Metta
FSM
45%
25%
29%
59 60 1 +1
31 Jan. 2019
NEM
Neman Grodno
1 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
61%
23%
17%
59 72 13 0
29 Jan. 2019
TOR
Torpedo Zhodino
5 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
71%
20%
9%
59 79 20 0
11 Nov. 2018
FKT
FK Tukums 2000
1 - 2
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
38%
26%
37%
59 50 9 0

Matches

Riga FC
Riga FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2019
CAR
Riga FC
0 - 1
Valmiera FC
VAL
77%
15%
7%
79 52 27 0
15 Mar. 2019
FSM
FK Metta
1 - 2
Riga FC
CAR
16%
25%
59%
78 60 18 +1
09 Mar. 2019
FKJ
FS Jelgava
0 - 1
Riga FC
CAR
11%
23%
66%
77 57 20 +1
01 Mar. 2019
CAR
Riga FC
2 - 0
Paide
PAI
71%
18%
11%
78 61 17 -1
10 Nov. 2018
CAR
Riga FC
4 - 4
FK Spartaks
FKS
57%
24%
19%
78 72 6 0