BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
6º
5º
37
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
BFC
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 2
RIG
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
GRO
3 - 2
BFC
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKT
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
HLI
4 - 0
BFC
69%
18%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKJ
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 0
SUP
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 2
AUD
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIG
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
AUD
0 - 0
THI
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | -2 |