Bex vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BAV
5 - 2
BEX
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BEX
2 - 1
FCO
37%
24%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
TER
6 - 0
BEX
82%
13%
5%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BEX
0 - 6
SER
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
BEX
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PER
2 - 3
BAV
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 3
PER
40%
24%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PER
0 - 2
TER
23%
23%
55%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
PER
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |