Bex vs Orbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
TER
6 - 0
BEX
82%
13%
5%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BEX
0 - 6
SER
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
BEX
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BEX
1 - 2
SIE
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SBC
0 - 2
BEX
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Orbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 3
PER
40%
24%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BAV
3 - 1
FCO
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 3
COL
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FCO
0 - 2
TER
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SER
3 - 0
FCO
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |