Bex vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
USC
2 - 0
BEX
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COL
6 - 1
BEX
76%
14%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PER
5 - 0
BEX
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BEX
0 - 0
BAV
19%
22%
60%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
3 - 2
BEX
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
PER
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAV
1 - 1
FCL
74%
15%
10%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 0
FCL
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 3
TER
28%
24%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
FCL
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |