Beşiktaş vs Umraniyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
7º
3º
30
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
2º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
97.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 40 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
92.5% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
HAT
2 - 1
BJK
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BJK
2 - 2
TRA
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GIR
0 - 1
BJK
19%
23%
58%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BJK
0 - 0
FEN
29%
25%
47%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IST
2 - 2
BJK
19%
24%
58%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Umraniyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UMR
1 - 3
FAT
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UMR
2 - 2
KAY
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KON
1 - 0
UMR
64%
23%
14%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UMR
1 - 2
KAS
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GFK
1 - 1
UMR
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |