Berrón vs Madalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUA
1 - 3
BER
48%
26%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BER
1 - 2
ESM
35%
24%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 4
BER
44%
25%
31%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BER
2 - 0
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 2
BER
61%
22%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 2
RAY
44%
22%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
TUR
0 - 0
MAD
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAD
4 - 3
NAL
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 0
MAD
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 2
NAV
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |