A PFG Normal Season Round 1

Beroe vs Ludogorets analysis

Beroe Ludogorets
76 ELO 79
-12.6% Tilt -16.2%
1874º General ELO ranking 788º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.7%
Beroe
26.8%
Draw
39.6%
Ludogorets

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
Beroe
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.6%
Win probability
Ludogorets
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Beroe
-7%
+12%
Ludogorets

ELO progression

Beroe
Ludogorets
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beroe
Beroe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2016
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 - 1
Beroe
BER
60%
22%
18%
78 78 0 0
29 Oct. 2016
BER
Beroe
2 - 1
Montana
MON
61%
24%
15%
78 66 12 0
22 Oct. 2016
LSO
Levski Sofia
2 - 0
Beroe
BER
55%
24%
21%
76 77 1 +2
16 Oct. 2016
BER
Beroe
3 - 4
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
49%
27%
24%
77 73 4 -1
30 Sep. 2016
BER
Beroe
0 - 1
Cherno More Varna
CVA
44%
27%
28%
79 77 2 -2

Matches

Ludogorets
Ludogorets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2016
LUD
Ludogorets
2 - 1
CSKA Sofia
CSK
59%
22%
19%
79 73 6 0
01 Nov. 2016
LUD
Ludogorets
2 - 3
Arsenal
ARS
13%
19%
67%
79 91 12 0
28 Oct. 2016
DUN
Dunav Ruse
3 - 5
Ludogorets
LUD
33%
26%
41%
79 73 6 0
25 Oct. 2016
MON
Montana
0 - 4
Ludogorets
LUD
23%
23%
54%
79 66 13 0
22 Oct. 2016
LUD
Ludogorets
4 - 0
Lokomotiv GO
LOK
72%
18%
10%
77 62 15 +2