A PFG Normal Season Round 9

Beroe vs Cherno More Varna analysis

Beroe Cherno More Varna
78 ELO 77
-17.1% Tilt -15.5%
1633º General ELO ranking 802º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.4%
Beroe
27.2%
Draw
28.4%
Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
Beroe
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.4%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Beroe
-10%
-8%
Cherno More Varna

ELO progression

Beroe
Cherno More Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Beroe
Beroe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2016
CSK
CSKA Sofia
4 - 0
Beroe
BER
39%
27%
33%
79 71 8 0
21 Sep. 2016
SEP
Septemvri Sofia
2 - 0
Beroe
BER
9%
18%
73%
79 27 52 0
18 Sep. 2016
BER
Beroe
0 - 0
Dunav Ruse
DUN
52%
25%
23%
79 72 7 0
12 Sep. 2016
LOK
Lokomotiv GO
0 - 1
Beroe
BER
24%
29%
47%
79 63 16 0
26 Aug. 2016
BER
Beroe
1 - 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
OFK
57%
25%
18%
79 71 8 0

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2016
CVA
Cherno More Varna
0 - 0
Slavia Sofia
SSO
44%
27%
29%
76 75 1 0
21 Sep. 2016
ROZ
Rozova dolina
1 - 2
Cherno More Varna
CVA
7%
15%
79%
76 42 34 0
18 Sep. 2016
CSK
CSKA Sofia
1 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
41%
25%
33%
76 70 6 0
09 Sep. 2016
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 3
Ludogorets
LUD
38%
28%
34%
76 79 3 0
27 Aug. 2016
DUN
Dunav Ruse
3 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
32%
27%
41%
78 70 8 -2