Real Sociedad C vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ZAM
2 - 1
RSO
72%
16%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
GER
2 - 0
ARE
58%
26%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GER
0 - 1
DAC
61%
25%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
LAU
1 - 0
GER
27%
27%
47%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
UPV
69%
22%
10%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SES
0 - 0
GER
53%
26%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |