Bergum vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 4
BER
35%
24%
42%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
DAL
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 1
BER
37%
24%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NIE
2 - 4
BER
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
JOU
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
DIO
0 - 5
FVC
9%
16%
76%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FVC
3 - 1
ACH
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
WOL
3 - 4
FVC
37%
23%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 3
FVC
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FVC
2 - 1
DAL
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |