Bergisch Gladbach vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 3
BER
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BER
1 - 0
MSV
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
4 - 0
BER
67%
21%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 2
BER
76%
16%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BER
0 - 4
WER
44%
25%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 3
WER
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
SCH
4 - 3
ERK
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 2
VEL
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
VFB
4 - 1
ERK
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 4
AAA
18%
23%
58%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -2 |