Bergerac vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
BER
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NIC
2 - 1
BER
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
STA
1 - 1
BER
24%
27%
50%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
FCM
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 0
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MGG
1 - 1
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SPO
5 - 0
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SÈT
1 - 1
SPO
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |