Bergerac vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
BER
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BER
0 - 1
HYE
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 4
BER
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PAU
0 - 2
BER
28%
26%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
BER
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 1
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MGG
1 - 0
NIC
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SÈT
1 - 0
NIC
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 0
SPO
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |