Bergerac vs Bourges Foot 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
24.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
13º
3º
41
5º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VIE
2 - 1
BER
12%
23%
65%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BER
2 - 1
MON
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 4
BER
23%
30%
47%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LES
1 - 1
BER
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
ANG
59%
25%
17%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bourges Foot 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AND
0 - 0
BOU
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 2
BOU
71%
17%
13%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
NAN
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
COL
1 - 4
BOU
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 0
AND
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |