Bergerac vs Andrézieux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
13º
3º
37
1º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
81.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ANG
0 - 2
BER
20%
27%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
YZE
60%
26%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 3
BER
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BER
2 - 2
MOA
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 1
BER
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Andrézieux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 0
AND
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
AND
3 - 0
NAN
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 1
AND
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AND
2 - 2
ANG
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AND
0 - 0
YZE
52%
26%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |