Bergerac U19 vs SA Mérignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
57.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+449%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
14º
14º
20
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 1
BER
82%
11%
6%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BER
0 - 2
STA
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
ANG
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 3
BER
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
LAV
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAV
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SRS
0 - 2
SAM
18%
19%
62%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 2
REN
21%
20%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SCB
7 - 1
SAM
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 4
NAN
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -2 |