Bergara KE vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergara KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
CDU
3 - 0
BKE
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
BKE
1 - 0
SDA
31%
30%
38%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
BAS
2 - 1
BKE
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
ARE
1 - 0
BKE
67%
21%
12%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
BKE
1 - 0
DEU
43%
29%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
GER
1 - 1
DEU
52%
27%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
MON
2 - 3
GER
62%
23%
16%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
GER
2 - 0
ILI
50%
27%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
TOL
0 - 0
GER
60%
25%
15%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
GER
1 - 0
CDT
57%
25%
18%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |