Berga vs Súria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
BER
21%
20%
60%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BER
4 - 1
ART
62%
19%
20%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BER
5 - 1
VTO
82%
11%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SSC
0 - 1
BER
39%
23%
39%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BER
1 - 2
PIR
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Súria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ART
1 - 2
SUR
59%
20%
22%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SUR
1 - 1
CTR
35%
23%
42%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CUE
6 - 2
SUR
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SUR
4 - 1
FCS
19%
21%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SBN
3 - 1
SUR
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |