Berga vs Navarcles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+139%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BER
5 - 1
SUR
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
BER
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BER
7 - 2
PUI
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VTO
0 - 6
BER
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BER
5 - 0
SSC
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Navarcles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NAV
3 - 1
VTO
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 3
PIR
20%
21%
59%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SSC
3 - 1
NAV
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
NAV
41%
23%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SLM
3 - 4
NAV
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |